Where and when is Alcantarilla vs SFC Minerva played?

Alcantarilla vs SFC Minerva is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal Ángel Sornichero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Alcantarilla vs SFC Minerva: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal Ángel Sornichero, Alcantarilla

Alcantarilla

SFC Minerva

The Footlab model makes Alcantarilla the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for SFC Minerva. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alcantarilla vs SFC Minerva?

SFC Minerva starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,694 vs 1,591).

Alcantarilla win41 %

Draw29 %

SFC Minerva win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcantarilla have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; SFC Minerva have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alcantarilla
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 11, 2025	Atlético Pulpileño(away)	0-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 4, 2025	Águilas II(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 27, 2025	Lorca Deportiva(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 20, 2025	Santomera(home)	1-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 13, 2025	UCAM Murcia II(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

SFC Minerva
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	El Palmar(home)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	Balsicas Atlético(away)	0-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	Unión Molinense(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 18, 2026	Santa Cruz(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026	Santomera(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Alcantarilla win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 SFC Minerva win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 9, 2025	SFC Minerva 0-1 Alcantarilla	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 28, 2024	Alcantarilla 0-2 SFC Minerva	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: SFC Minerva vs Alcantarilla on Feb 9, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Alcantarilla score 0.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; SFC Minerva score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Alcantarilla	0.5	1.6	6	4/15	7/15
SFC Minerva	0.9	1.3	5	4/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	SFC Minerva	34	11	11	12	28	39	44

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alcantarilla vs SFC Minerva?: The Footlab model makes Alcantarilla the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for SFC Minerva.
Where and when is Alcantarilla vs SFC Minerva played?: Alcantarilla vs SFC Minerva is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal Ángel Sornichero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.