Alcantarilla vs SFC Minerva: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal Ángel Sornichero, Alcantarilla
The Footlab AI model makes Alcantarilla the favourite at 44%, against 33% for a draw and 23% for SFC Minerva. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcantarilla vs SFC Minerva?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Alcantarilla (1,626) and SFC Minerva (1,698).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alcantarilla vs SFC Minerva
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alcantarilla
4-3-3- 19Bruno Tomás
- JJuan López
- LLuis Hueva
- NNico Varela
- GGonzalo Rodríguez
- PPedro López
- TTekio
- MMigue Marín
- SSalvi
- LLuis Manzanera
- 13Antonio Gallego
SFC Minerva
Not enough data to predict the SFC Minerva lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcantarilla have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; SFC Minerva have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Santa Cruz(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bala Azul(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | San Javier(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Alcantarilla win, 0 draws, 1 SFC Minerva win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | SFC Minerva 0-1 Alcantarilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Alcantarilla 0-2 SFC Minerva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: SFC Minerva vs Alcantarilla on Feb 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Alcantarilla score 0.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; SFC Minerva score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcantarilla | 0.7 | 1.2 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| SFC Minerva | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alcantarilla sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (9 points from 6 matches) and SFC Minerva sit 13th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Alcantarilla | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 13 | SFC Minerva | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
A question about Alcantarilla vs SFC Minerva?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcantarilla vs SFC Minerva?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alcantarilla the favourite at 44%, against 33% for a draw and 23% for SFC Minerva.
- Where and when is Alcantarilla vs SFC Minerva played?
- Alcantarilla vs SFC Minerva is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal Ángel Sornichero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.