Where and when is Águilas II vs UCAM Murcia II played?

Águilas II vs UCAM Murcia II is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Rubial, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Águilas II vs UCAM Murcia II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Rubial, Águilas

Águilas II

UCAM Murcia II

The Footlab model makes UCAM Murcia II the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Águilas II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Águilas II vs UCAM Murcia II?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Águilas II (1,824) and UCAM Murcia II (1,844).

Águilas II win31 %

Draw25 %

UCAM Murcia II win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Águilas II have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; UCAM Murcia II have 6, 8 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Águilas II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	UCAM Murcia II(home)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	Mazarrón FC(away)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 25, 2026	El Palmar(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	Balsicas Atlético(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 11, 2026	Unión Molinense(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

UCAM Murcia II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Águilas II(away)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	Muleño(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	Mazarrón FC(home)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	El Palmar(away)	4-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 11, 2026	Balsicas Atlético(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Águilas II win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 UCAM Murcia II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Águilas II 2-2 UCAM Murcia II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Jan 11, 2026	UCAM Murcia II 1-1 Águilas II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Feb 23, 2025	Águilas II 3-0 UCAM Murcia II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 13, 2024	UCAM Murcia II 3-2 Águilas II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Águilas II vs UCAM Murcia II on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Águilas II score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; UCAM Murcia II score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Águilas II	1.6	0.9	7	7/15	8/15
UCAM Murcia II	2.3	1.3	3	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Águilas II sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (52 points from 34 matches) and UCAM Murcia II sit 6th (55 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	UCAM Murcia II	34	13	16	5	55	37	55
7	Águilas II	34	14	10	10	47	42	52

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Águilas II vs UCAM Murcia II?: The Footlab model makes UCAM Murcia II the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Águilas II.
Where and when is Águilas II vs UCAM Murcia II played?: Águilas II vs UCAM Murcia II is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Rubial, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.