Bala Azul vs SFC Minerva: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Playa Sol, Puerto de Mazarrón
The Footlab AI model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for SFC Minerva. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bala Azul vs SFC Minerva?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Bala Azul (1,671) and SFC Minerva (1,634).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bala Azul vs SFC Minerva
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bala Azul
Not enough data to predict the Bala Azul lineup.
SFC Minerva
Not enough data to predict the SFC Minerva lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bala Azul have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; SFC Minerva have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | San Javier(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Bala Azul win, 3 draws, 0 SFC Minerva wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Bala Azul 0-0 SFC Minerva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | SFC Minerva 0-0 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Bala Azul 2-1 SFC Minerva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | SFC Minerva 0-0 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Bala Azul vs SFC Minerva on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; SFC Minerva score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bala Azul | 1.5 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| SFC Minerva | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bala Azul sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (8 points from 6 matches) and SFC Minerva sit 12th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bala Azul | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | SFC Minerva | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
A question about Bala Azul vs SFC Minerva?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bala Azul vs SFC Minerva?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for SFC Minerva.
- Where and when is Bala Azul vs SFC Minerva played?
- Bala Azul vs SFC Minerva is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Playa Sol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 1, 2026El PalmarvsUCAM Murcia II
- Nov 1, 2026Atlético PulpileñovsCartagena LU II
- Nov 1, 2026Mazarrón FCvsBullas Deportivo
- Nov 1, 2026Olímpico TotanavsSantomera
- Nov 1, 2026AlcantarillavsLos Garres
- Nov 1, 2026Águilas IIvsAlgar
- Nov 1, 2026Santa CruzvsUnión Molinense
- Nov 1, 2026San JaviervsBalsicas Atlético