Where and when is Bala Azul vs SFC Minerva played?

Bala Azul vs SFC Minerva is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Playa Sol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bala Azul vs SFC Minerva: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Playa Sol, Puerto de Mazarrón

Bala Azul

SFC Minerva

The Footlab model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for SFC Minerva. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bala Azul vs SFC Minerva?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Bala Azul (1,733) and SFC Minerva (1,694).

Bala Azul win52 %

Draw27 %

SFC Minerva win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bala Azul have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; SFC Minerva have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bala Azul
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	UD Caravaca(home)	2-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026	Cieza(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	Muleño(home)	3-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	Olímpico Totana(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026	Cartagena LU II(away)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

SFC Minerva
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	El Palmar(home)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	Balsicas Atlético(away)	0-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	Unión Molinense(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 18, 2026	Santa Cruz(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026	Santomera(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Bala Azul win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 SFC Minerva win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 22, 2026	Bala Azul 0-0 SFC Minerva	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Nov 9, 2025	SFC Minerva 0-0 Bala Azul	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Feb 16, 2025	Bala Azul 2-1 SFC Minerva	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 6, 2024	SFC Minerva 0-0 Bala Azul	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Bala Azul vs SFC Minerva on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SFC Minerva score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bala Azul	1.5	1.3	6	9/15	8/15
SFC Minerva	0.9	1.3	5	4/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bala Azul sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (38 points from 34 matches) and SFC Minerva sit 10th (44 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	SFC Minerva	34	11	11	12	28	39	44
11	Bala Azul	34	7	17	10	36	36	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bala Azul vs SFC Minerva?: The Footlab model makes Bala Azul the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for SFC Minerva.
Where and when is Bala Azul vs SFC Minerva played?: Bala Azul vs SFC Minerva is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Playa Sol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.