SFC Minerva vs Santa Cruz: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Campo Municipal El Secante, Alumbres
The Footlab AI model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for SFC Minerva. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,621 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SFC Minerva vs Santa Cruz?
Santa Cruz starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,777 vs 1,653).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SFC Minerva vs Santa Cruz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SFC Minerva
Not enough data to predict the SFC Minerva lineup.
Santa Cruz
Not enough data to predict the Santa Cruz lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 12:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SFC Minerva have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Santa Cruz have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Bala Azul(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | San Javier(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Unión Molinense(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Alcantarilla(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 SFC Minerva wins, 0 draws, 2 Santa Cruz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Santa Cruz 1-0 SFC Minerva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | SFC Minerva 0-2 Santa Cruz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Santa Cruz vs SFC Minerva on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SFC Minerva score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Cruz score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SFC Minerva | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Santa Cruz | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SFC Minerva sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (8 points from 7 matches) and Santa Cruz sit 2nd (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Santa Cruz | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 15 |
| 15 | SFC Minerva | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 8 |
A question about SFC Minerva vs Santa Cruz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SFC Minerva vs Santa Cruz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for SFC Minerva.
- Where and when is SFC Minerva vs Santa Cruz played?
- SFC Minerva vs Santa Cruz is played on November 8, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Campo Municipal El Secante, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.