SFC Minerva vs Santa Cruz: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal El Secante, Alumbres
The Footlab model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for SFC Minerva. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SFC Minerva vs Santa Cruz?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate SFC Minerva (1,694) and Santa Cruz (1,760).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SFC Minerva have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Santa Cruz have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | El Palmar(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Unión Molinense(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Santa Cruz(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Santomera(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 2, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Yeclano II(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | SFC Minerva(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 SFC Minerva win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Santa Cruz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Santa Cruz 1-0 SFC Minerva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | SFC Minerva 0-2 Santa Cruz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Santa Cruz vs SFC Minerva on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SFC Minerva score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Cruz score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SFC Minerva | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Santa Cruz | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SFC Minerva sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (44 points from 34 matches) and Santa Cruz sit 8th (51 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Santa Cruz | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 37 | 34 | 51 |
| 10 | SFC Minerva | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 39 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SFC Minerva vs Santa Cruz?
- The Footlab model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for SFC Minerva.
- Where and when is SFC Minerva vs Santa Cruz played?
- SFC Minerva vs Santa Cruz is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal El Secante, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.