Ballinamallard United vs Annagh United: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ferney Park, Ballinamallard
The Footlab model makes Annagh United the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Ballinamallard United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ballinamallard United vs Annagh United?
Annagh United starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (1,387 vs 1,211).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ballinamallard United have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Annagh United have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dundela(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Institute(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Newry City AFC(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bangor(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Moyola Park(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dundela(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Rathfriland(home) | 4-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Newington Youth(away) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ballymena United(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ballinamallard United win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Annagh United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Ballinamallard United 0-0 Annagh United | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Annagh United 0-1 Ballinamallard United | Championship |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Ballinamallard United 1-1 Annagh United | Championship |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Annagh United 1-0 Ballinamallard United | Championship |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Ballinamallard United 0-3 Annagh United | Championship |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Annagh United 1-0 Ballinamallard United | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ballinamallard United vs Annagh United on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ballinamallard United score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Annagh United score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballinamallard United | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Annagh United | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ballinamallard United sit 9th in Championship (6 points from 4 matches) and Annagh United sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Annagh United | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 39 | 72 |
| 2 | Annagh United | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 54 | 27 | 71 |
| 7 | Annagh United | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 9 | Ballinamallard United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Ballinamallard United | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 52 | 34 |
| 10 | Ballinamallard United | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 60 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ballinamallard United vs Annagh United?
- The Footlab model makes Annagh United the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Ballinamallard United.
- Where and when is Ballinamallard United vs Annagh United played?
- Ballinamallard United vs Annagh United is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ferney Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.