Loughgall vs Warrenpoint Town: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Lakeview Park, Loughgall
The Footlab model makes Loughgall the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Warrenpoint Town. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Loughgall vs Warrenpoint Town?
Loughgall starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,387 vs 1,246).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Loughgall have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Warrenpoint Town have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ards(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Institute(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Newington Youth(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rathfriland(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Newry City AFC(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ards(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Armagh City(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Loughgall win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Warrenpoint Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Loughgall 1-0 Warrenpoint Town | Championship |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Warrenpoint Town 1-0 Loughgall | Championship |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Loughgall 1-1 Warrenpoint Town | Championship |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Loughgall 1-2 Warrenpoint Town | Championship |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Warrenpoint Town 1-3 Loughgall | Championship |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Warrenpoint Town 2-0 Loughgall | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Loughgall vs Warrenpoint Town on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Loughgall score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Warrenpoint Town score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loughgall | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Warrenpoint Town | 0.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Loughgall sit 3rd in Championship (8 points from 4 matches) and Warrenpoint Town sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Loughgall | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Loughgall | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 51 |
| 6 | Loughgall | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 56 |
| 8 | Warrenpoint Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint Town | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44 | 50 | 36 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint Town | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 53 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Loughgall vs Warrenpoint Town?
- The Footlab model makes Loughgall the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Warrenpoint Town.
- Where and when is Loughgall vs Warrenpoint Town played?
- Loughgall vs Warrenpoint Town is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Lakeview Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.