Ards vs Queen's University: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Bangor Fuels Arena, Bangor
The Footlab model makes Queen's University the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Ards. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ards vs Queen's University?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Ards (1,340) and Queen's University (1,378).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ards have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Queen's University have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Loughgall(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dundela(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Glenavon FC(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Institute(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Newington Youth(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | H&W Welders(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Armagh City(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ballyclare Comrades(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ards win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Queen's University win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Queen's University 2-2 Ards | Championship |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Queen's University 1-0 Ards | Championship |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Ards 2-3 Queen's University | Championship |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Queen's University 2-3 Ards | Championship |
| Jan 29, 2022 | Queen's University 2-1 Ards | Championship |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Ards 2-0 Queen's University | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Queen's University vs Ards on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ards score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Queen's University score 2.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ards | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Queen's University | 2.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ards sit 5th in Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and Queen's University sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ards | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
| 5 | Queen's University | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 51 | 46 | 57 |
| 6 | Queen's University | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Queen's University | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 47 |
| 8 | Ards | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 46 | 43 |
| 8 | Ards | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 56 | 51 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ards vs Queen's University?
- The Footlab model makes Queen's University the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Ards.
- Where and when is Ards vs Queen's University played?
- Ards vs Queen's University is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Bangor Fuels Arena, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.