Limavady United vs Larne: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Showgrounds, Limavady
The Footlab model makes Larne the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Limavady United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Limavady United vs Larne?
Larne starts as the favourite with a 261-point Elo edge (1,746 vs 1,485).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Limavady United have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Larne have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Glentoran(away) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Linfield(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Institute(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Coleraine FC(away) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Saburtalo(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Limavady United win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Larne win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | Limavady United 1-0 Larne | Irish Cup |
| Sep 14, 2021 | Larne 4-0 Limavady United | League Cup |
| Nov 17, 2018 | Larne 6-0 Limavady United | Championship |
| Oct 6, 2018 | Limavady United 1-3 Larne | Championship |
| Mar 23, 2018 | Limavady United 1-0 Larne | Championship |
| Feb 17, 2018 | Larne 2-1 Limavady United | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Limavady United vs Larne on Jan 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Limavady United score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Larne score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limavady United | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Larne | 1.3 | 1.2 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Limavady United sit 11th in Premiership (0 points from 2 matches) and Larne sit 9th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Larne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Limavady United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Limavady United vs Larne?
- The Footlab model makes Larne the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Limavady United.
- Where and when is Limavady United vs Larne played?
- Limavady United vs Larne is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Showgrounds, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.