Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stangmore Park, Dungannon
The Footlab model makes Dungannon Swifts the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Ballymena United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Dungannon Swifts (1,541) and Ballymena United (1,482).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dungannon Swifts have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Ballymena United have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bangor(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Portadown(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Coleraine FC(home) | 1-3 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Glentoran(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Linfield(away) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Glenavon FC(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Annagh United(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Dungannon Swifts win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ballymena United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts 2-0 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Ballymena United 1-2 Dungannon Swifts | Premiership |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Ballymena United 0-2 Dungannon Swifts | Premiership |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Dungannon Swifts 0-3 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Ballymena United 0-1 Dungannon Swifts | Premiership |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Dungannon Swifts 1-0 Ballymena United | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dungannon Swifts score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ballymena United score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dungannon Swifts | 2.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Ballymena United | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dungannon Swifts sit 5th in Premiership (6 points from 3 matches) and Ballymena United sit 8th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dungannon Swifts | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Ballymena United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United?
- The Footlab model makes Dungannon Swifts the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Ballymena United.
- Where and when is Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United played?
- Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stangmore Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.