Larne vs Crusaders FC: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Inver Park, Larne
The Footlab AI model makes Larne the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Crusaders FC. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,094 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Larne vs Crusaders FC?
Larne starts as the favourite with a 282-point Elo edge (1,775 vs 1,494).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Larne vs Crusaders FC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Larne
4-3-3- 9P. O'Neill
- 7C. McKendry
- 19K. O'Hara
- 26D. Bent
- 15R. Doherty
- 6C. Gallagher
- 4A. Donnelly
- 23T. Cosgrove
- 3M. Ridley
- 47J. Simpson
- 1R. Ferguson
Crusaders FC
4-3-3- 18A. Reid
- 27T. Maguire
- 17K. Bond
- 14D. Rocks
- 8H. Jewitt-White
- 11E. Dunlop
- 5S. Rough
- 4J. Blaney
- 22R. McKay
- 2K. Forsythe
- 1S. Callister
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 10:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Larne have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Crusaders FC have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(away) | 2-4 | Premiership |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Portadown(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Limavady United(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bangor(away) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Linfield(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Bangor(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Limavady United(away) | 4-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Coleraine FC(home) | 0-5 | Premiership |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(away) | 2-5 | League Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ballymena United(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Larne wins, 1 draw, 1 Crusaders FC win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crusaders FC 0-3 Larne | Premiership |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Crusaders FC 2-4 Larne | Premiership |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Crusaders FC 0-1 Larne | Premiership |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Larne 4-0 Crusaders FC | Premiership |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Crusaders FC 2-2 Larne | Premiership |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Larne 0-1 Crusaders FC | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Crusaders FC vs Larne on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Larne score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Crusaders FC score 1.4 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larne | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Crusaders FC | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Larne sit 3rd in Premiership (26 points from 13 matches) and Crusaders FC sit 8th (18 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Larne | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 26 |
| 8 | Crusaders FC | 15 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 20 | 30 | 18 |
A question about Larne vs Crusaders FC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Larne vs Crusaders FC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Larne the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Crusaders FC.
- Where and when is Larne vs Crusaders FC played?
- Larne vs Crusaders FC is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Inver Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.