Balsicas Atlético vs Águilas II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol de Balsicas, Torre-Pacheco
The Footlab model makes Águilas II the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Balsicas Atlético. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Balsicas Atlético vs Águilas II?
Águilas II starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,820 vs 1,696).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balsicas Atlético have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Águilas II have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Yeclano II(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | SFC Minerva(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | El Palmar(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Unión Molinense(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Balsicas Atlético win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Águilas II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético 1-2 Águilas II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Águilas II 3-1 Balsicas Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Balsicas Atlético 1-2 Águilas II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Águilas II 6-0 Balsicas Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Balsicas Atlético vs Águilas II on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Balsicas Atlético score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Águilas II score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balsicas Atlético | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Águilas II | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Balsicas Atlético sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (36 points from 34 matches) and Águilas II sit 7th (52 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Águilas II | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 47 | 42 | 52 |
| 13 | Balsicas Atlético | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 46 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Balsicas Atlético vs Águilas II?
- The Footlab model makes Águilas II the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Balsicas Atlético.
- Where and when is Balsicas Atlético vs Águilas II played?
- Balsicas Atlético vs Águilas II is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol de Balsicas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 22, 2026Los GarresvsSanta Cruz
- Nov 22, 2026SFC MinervavsAtlético Pulpileño
- Nov 22, 2026UCAM Murcia IIvsUnión Molinense
- Nov 22, 2026Cartagena LU IIvsMazarrón FC
- Nov 22, 2026AlgarvsBala Azul
- Nov 22, 2026SantomeravsAlcantarilla
- Nov 22, 2026Bullas DeportivovsEl Palmar
- Nov 22, 2026San JaviervsOlímpico Totana