Baltika II vs Kosmos Dolgoprudny: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 2Group 2 - 26Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Baltika II the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Kosmos Dolgoprudny. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baltika II vs Kosmos Dolgoprudny?
Baltika II starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,633).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baltika II have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Kosmos Dolgoprudny have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Murom(home) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(away) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zvezda St. Petersburg(home) | 4-3 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Torpedo Vladimir(away) | 2-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Yenisey II(away) | 6-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Spartak Moscow 2(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tver(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Murom(away) | 1-3 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FC 10(away) | 2-3 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Baltika II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kosmos Dolgoprudny win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny 1-2 Baltika II | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny 1-3 Baltika II | Second League - Group 2 |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Baltika II 3-3 Kosmos Dolgoprudny | Second League - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Kosmos Dolgoprudny vs Baltika II on Jun 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Baltika II score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Kosmos Dolgoprudny score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltika II | 2.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Kosmos Dolgoprudny | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baltika II sit 5th in Second League - Group 2 (22 points from 12 matches) and Kosmos Dolgoprudny sit 15th (7 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Baltika II | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 38 |
| 5 | Baltika II | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 22 |
| 7 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | 25 |
| 15 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baltika II vs Kosmos Dolgoprudny?
- The Footlab model makes Baltika II the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Kosmos Dolgoprudny.
- Where and when is Baltika II vs Kosmos Dolgoprudny played?
- Baltika II vs Kosmos Dolgoprudny is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Second League - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.