Dinamo Vologda vs Dinamo St. Petersburg: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 2Group 2 - 26Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dinamo, Vologda
The Footlab model makes Dinamo St. Petersburg the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Dinamo Vologda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Vologda vs Dinamo St. Petersburg?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Dinamo Vologda (1,727) and Dinamo St. Petersburg (1,814).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Vologda have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Dinamo St. Petersburg have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(home) | 2-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zvezda St. Petersburg(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Tver(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Torpedo Vladimir(home) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Yenisey II(home) | 4-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cherepovets(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Spartak Moscow 2(away) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | FC 10(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tver(home) | 3-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Dinamo Vologda win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Dinamo St. Petersburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Dinamo St. Petersburg 1-0 Dinamo Vologda | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Dinamo Vologda 1-0 Dinamo St. Petersburg | Cup |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Dinamo Vologda 1-2 Dinamo St. Petersburg | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Dinamo St. Petersburg 3-1 Dinamo Vologda | Second League - Group 2 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Dinamo Vologda 0-2 Dinamo St. Petersburg | Second League - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Vologda on Jun 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Vologda score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo St. Petersburg score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Vologda | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Dinamo St. Petersburg | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Vologda sit 8th in Second League - Group 2 (14 points from 11 matches) and Dinamo St. Petersburg sit 1st (28 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 3 | 28 |
| 1 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 30 | 10 | 39 |
| 8 | Dinamo Vologda | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | Dinamo Vologda | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 20 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Vologda vs Dinamo St. Petersburg?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo St. Petersburg the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Dinamo Vologda.
- Where and when is Dinamo Vologda vs Dinamo St. Petersburg played?
- Dinamo Vologda vs Dinamo St. Petersburg is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dinamo, in the Second League - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.