Yenisey II vs Chertanovo Moscow: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 2Group 2 - 26Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Central'nyj Stadion, Krasnoyarsk
The Footlab model makes Chertanovo Moscow the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Yenisey II. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yenisey II vs Chertanovo Moscow?
Chertanovo Moscow starts as the favourite with a 230-point Elo edge (1,727 vs 1,497).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yenisey II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Chertanovo Moscow have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk(home) | 4-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Murom(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zvezda St. Petersburg(away) | 1-4 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Torpedo Vladimir(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | KDV(away) | 4-2 | Cup |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tver(home) | 4-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk(away) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Murom(home) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(away) | 2-3 | Second League - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Yenisey II win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Chertanovo Moscow win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Chertanovo Moscow 3-1 Yenisey II | Second League - Group 2 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Yenisey II 2-2 Chertanovo Moscow | Second League - Group 2 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Chertanovo Moscow 1-0 Yenisey II | Second League - Group 2 |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Yenisey II 1-2 Chertanovo Moscow | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jun 25, 2024 | Chertanovo Moscow 4-1 Yenisey II | Second League - Group 2 |
| May 15, 2023 | Chertanovo Moscow 6-2 Yenisey II | Second League - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Chertanovo Moscow vs Yenisey II on Jun 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yenisey II score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Chertanovo Moscow score 2.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yenisey II | 1.1 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Chertanovo Moscow | 2.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yenisey II sit 12th in Second League - Group 2 (10 points from 12 matches) and Chertanovo Moscow sit 3rd (23 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Chertanovo Moscow | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 23 |
| 5 | Chertanovo Moscow | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 35 |
| 12 | Yenisey II | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 10 |
| 12 | Yenisey II | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 37 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yenisey II vs Chertanovo Moscow?
- The Footlab model makes Chertanovo Moscow the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Yenisey II.
- Where and when is Yenisey II vs Chertanovo Moscow played?
- Yenisey II vs Chertanovo Moscow is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Central'nyj Stadion, in the Second League - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.