Baltika II vs Yenisey II: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 2Group 2 - 28Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Baltika II the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Yenisey II. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baltika II vs Yenisey II?
Baltika II starts as the favourite with a 246-point Elo edge (1,742 vs 1,496).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baltika II have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Yenisey II have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Murom(home) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(away) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zvezda St. Petersburg(home) | 4-3 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Torpedo Vladimir(away) | 2-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Yenisey II(away) | 6-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk(home) | 4-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Murom(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(home) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zvezda St. Petersburg(away) | 1-4 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Torpedo Vladimir(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Baltika II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Yenisey II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Yenisey II 1-6 Baltika II | Second League - Group 2 |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Yenisey II 1-0 Baltika II | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Baltika II 4-1 Yenisey II | Second League - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Yenisey II vs Baltika II on Jun 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Baltika II score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Yenisey II score 1.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltika II | 2.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Yenisey II | 1.1 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baltika II sit 5th in Second League - Group 2 (22 points from 12 matches) and Yenisey II sit 12th (10 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Baltika II | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 38 |
| 5 | Baltika II | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 22 |
| 12 | Yenisey II | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 10 |
| 12 | Yenisey II | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 37 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baltika II vs Yenisey II?
- The Footlab model makes Baltika II the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Yenisey II.
- Where and when is Baltika II vs Yenisey II played?
- Baltika II vs Yenisey II is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Second League - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.