Dinamo Vologda vs Chertanovo Moscow: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 2Group 2 - 28Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dinamo, Vologda
The Footlab model makes Chertanovo Moscow the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Dinamo Vologda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Vologda vs Chertanovo Moscow?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Dinamo Vologda (1,716) and Chertanovo Moscow (1,727).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Vologda have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Chertanovo Moscow have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(home) | 2-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zvezda St. Petersburg(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Tver(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Torpedo Vladimir(home) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Yenisey II(home) | 4-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | KDV(away) | 4-2 | Cup |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tver(home) | 4-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk(away) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Murom(home) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(away) | 2-3 | Second League - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dinamo Vologda win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Chertanovo Moscow win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Chertanovo Moscow 1-1 Dinamo Vologda | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Chertanovo Moscow 2-4 Dinamo Vologda | Second League - Group 2 |
| May 11, 2025 | Dinamo Vologda 5-0 Chertanovo Moscow | Second League - Group 2 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Chertanovo Moscow 0-1 Dinamo Vologda | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Dinamo Vologda 1-4 Chertanovo Moscow | Second League - Group 2 |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Dinamo Vologda 0-3 Chertanovo Moscow | Second League - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Chertanovo Moscow vs Dinamo Vologda on Jun 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Vologda score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chertanovo Moscow score 2.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Vologda | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Chertanovo Moscow | 2.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Vologda sit 8th in Second League - Group 2 (14 points from 11 matches) and Chertanovo Moscow sit 3rd (23 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Chertanovo Moscow | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 23 |
| 5 | Chertanovo Moscow | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 35 |
| 8 | Dinamo Vologda | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | Dinamo Vologda | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 20 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Vologda vs Chertanovo Moscow?
- The Footlab model makes Chertanovo Moscow the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Dinamo Vologda.
- Where and when is Dinamo Vologda vs Chertanovo Moscow played?
- Dinamo Vologda vs Chertanovo Moscow is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dinamo, in the Second League - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.