Torpedo Vladimir vs Dinamo St. Petersburg: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 2Group 2 - 28Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Torpedo, Vladimir
The Footlab model makes Dinamo St. Petersburg the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Torpedo Vladimir. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torpedo Vladimir vs Dinamo St. Petersburg?
Dinamo St. Petersburg starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,806 vs 1,682).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torpedo Vladimir have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Dinamo St. Petersburg have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Znamya Noginsk(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Strogino(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dinamo Vologda(away) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Baltika II(home) | 2-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Yenisey II(away) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cherepovets(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Spartak Moscow 2(away) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | FC 10(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tver(home) | 3-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Iskra Smolensk(away) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Torpedo Vladimir win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Dinamo St. Petersburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Dinamo St. Petersburg 1-1 Torpedo Vladimir | Second League - Group 2 |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Torpedo Vladimir 1-1 Dinamo St. Petersburg | Second League - Group 2 |
| Jun 25, 2024 | Dinamo St. Petersburg 2-1 Torpedo Vladimir | Second League - Group 2 |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Dinamo St. Petersburg 0-2 Torpedo Vladimir | Second League - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo St. Petersburg vs Torpedo Vladimir on Jun 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torpedo Vladimir score 1.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo St. Petersburg score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torpedo Vladimir | 1.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Dinamo St. Petersburg | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torpedo Vladimir sit 7th in Second League - Group 2 (17 points from 11 matches) and Dinamo St. Petersburg sit 1st (28 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 3 | 28 |
| 1 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 30 | 10 | 39 |
| 6 | Torpedo Vladimir | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 26 |
| 7 | Torpedo Vladimir | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torpedo Vladimir vs Dinamo St. Petersburg?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo St. Petersburg the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Torpedo Vladimir.
- Where and when is Torpedo Vladimir vs Dinamo St. Petersburg played?
- Torpedo Vladimir vs Dinamo St. Petersburg is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Torpedo, in the Second League - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.