Where and when is Bałtyk Koszalin vs Unia Swarzędz played?

Bałtyk Koszalin vs Unia Swarzędz is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ZOS Bałtyk Koszalin, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bałtyk Koszalin vs Unia Swarzędz: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ZOS Bałtyk Koszalin, Koszalin

Bałtyk Koszalin

Unia Swarzędz

The Footlab model makes Unia Swarzędz the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Bałtyk Koszalin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bałtyk Koszalin vs Unia Swarzędz?

Unia Swarzędz starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,763 vs 1,653).

Bałtyk Koszalin win25 %

Draw24 %

Unia Swarzędz win50 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bałtyk Koszalin have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Unia Swarzędz have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bałtyk Koszalin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Kalisz(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Flota Świnoujście(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026	Luzino(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Polonia Środa(home)	0-3	III Liga - Group 2

Unia Swarzędz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Elana Toruń(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(home)	0-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026	Kalisz(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Bałtyk Koszalin win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Unia Swarzędz win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 6, 2021	Bałtyk Koszalin 2-2 Unia Swarzędz	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2020	Unia Swarzędz 0-3 Bałtyk Koszalin	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Bałtyk Koszalin vs Unia Swarzędz on Jun 6, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Bałtyk Koszalin score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Unia Swarzędz score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bałtyk Koszalin	1.1	1.7	2	9/15	8/15
Unia Swarzędz	1.9	1.7	4	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bałtyk Koszalin sit 13th in III Liga - Group 2 (5 points from 5 matches) and Unia Swarzędz sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Unia Swarzędz	5	2	0	3	6	9	6
13	Bałtyk Koszalin	5	1	2	2	4	7	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bałtyk Koszalin vs Unia Swarzędz?: The Footlab model makes Unia Swarzędz the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Bałtyk Koszalin.
Where and when is Bałtyk Koszalin vs Unia Swarzędz played?: Bałtyk Koszalin vs Unia Swarzędz is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ZOS Bałtyk Koszalin, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.