Where and when is Kotwica Kórnik vs Noteć Czarnków played?

Kotwica Kórnik vs Noteć Czarnków is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kotwica Kórnik vs Noteć Czarnków: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)

Kotwica Kórnik

Noteć Czarnków

The Footlab model makes Noteć Czarnków the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Kotwica Kórnik. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kotwica Kórnik vs Noteć Czarnków?

Noteć Czarnków starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,791 vs 1,634).

Kotwica Kórnik win22 %

Draw22 %

Noteć Czarnków win56 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kotwica Kórnik have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Noteć Czarnków have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kotwica Kórnik
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Victoria Września(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Kalisz(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Flota Świnoujście(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Luzino(home)	2-6	III Liga - Group 2

Noteć Czarnków
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Elana Toruń(home)	3-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kalisz(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(away)	3-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(away)	3-5	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Kotwica Kórnik win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Noteć Czarnków win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 26, 2025	Noteć Czarnków 0-1 Kotwica Kórnik	III Liga - Group 2
Jan 25, 2025	Kotwica Kórnik 1-2 Noteć Czarnków	Friendlies Clubs
Sep 29, 2024	Kotwica Kórnik 6-1 Noteć Czarnków	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Noteć Czarnków vs Kotwica Kórnik on Apr 26, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kotwica Kórnik score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Noteć Czarnków score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kotwica Kórnik	1.1	2.1	1	9/15	9/15
Noteć Czarnków	1.7	1.3	4	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kotwica Kórnik sit 18th in III Liga - Group 2 (1 points from 5 matches) and Noteć Czarnków sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Noteć Czarnków	5	3	0	2	10	8	9
18	Kotwica Kórnik	5	0	1	4	4	12	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kotwica Kórnik vs Noteć Czarnków?: The Footlab model makes Noteć Czarnków the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Kotwica Kórnik.
Where and when is Kotwica Kórnik vs Noteć Czarnków played?: Kotwica Kórnik vs Noteć Czarnków is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.