Where and when is Unia Swarzędz vs Grom Nowy Staw played?

Unia Swarzędz vs Grom Nowy Staw is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Unia Swarzędz vs Grom Nowy Staw: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Swarzędz

Unia Swarzędz

Grom Nowy Staw

The Footlab model makes Unia Swarzędz the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Grom Nowy Staw. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unia Swarzędz vs Grom Nowy Staw?

A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Unia Swarzędz (1,763) and Grom Nowy Staw (1,695).

Unia Swarzędz win41 %

Draw24 %

Grom Nowy Staw win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Swarzędz have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Grom Nowy Staw have 2, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unia Swarzędz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Elana Toruń(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(home)	0-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026	Kalisz(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2

Grom Nowy Staw
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(home)	3-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Wda Świecie(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Elana Toruń(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(away)	2-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Unia Swarzędz win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Grom Nowy Staw win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw 2-3 Unia Swarzędz	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Grom Nowy Staw vs Unia Swarzędz on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Unia Swarzędz score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Grom Nowy Staw score 2.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Unia Swarzędz	1.9	1.7	4	8/15	11/15
Grom Nowy Staw	2.0	2.0	2	5/8	5/8

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unia Swarzędz sit 11th in III Liga - Group 2 (6 points from 5 matches) and Grom Nowy Staw sit 14th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Unia Swarzędz	5	2	0	3	6	9	6
14	Grom Nowy Staw	5	1	0	4	10	13	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unia Swarzędz vs Grom Nowy Staw?: The Footlab model makes Unia Swarzędz the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Grom Nowy Staw.
Where and when is Unia Swarzędz vs Grom Nowy Staw played?: Unia Swarzędz vs Grom Nowy Staw is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.