Where and when is Polonia Środa vs Kluczevia Stargard played?

Polonia Środa vs Kluczevia Stargard is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Polonia Środa vs Kluczevia Stargard: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, Środa Wielkopolska

Polonia Środa

Kluczevia Stargard

The Footlab model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Kluczevia Stargard. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Środa vs Kluczevia Stargard?

A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Polonia Środa (1,872) and Kluczevia Stargard (1,773).

Polonia Środa win47 %

Draw23 %

Kluczevia Stargard win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Środa have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Kluczevia Stargard have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Środa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Stargard Szczeciński(home)	4-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 7, 2026	Victoria Września(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(away)	3-0	III Liga - Group 2

Kluczevia Stargard
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(away)	4-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Stargard Szczeciński(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)	3-3	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Polonia Środa win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Kluczevia Stargard win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard 1-2 Polonia Środa	III Liga - Group 2
Nov 7, 2025	Polonia Środa 1-4 Kluczevia Stargard	III Liga - Group 2
Apr 27, 2022	Polonia Środa 0-2 Kluczevia Stargard	III Liga - Group 2
Sep 18, 2021	Kluczevia Stargard 0-2 Polonia Środa	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Kluczevia Stargard vs Polonia Środa on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Środa score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kluczevia Stargard score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Polonia Środa	1.9	1.2	4	8/15	11/15
Kluczevia Stargard	2.1	1.7	2	12/15	14/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Środa sit 1st in III Liga - Group 2 (15 points from 5 matches) and Kluczevia Stargard sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	5	5	0	0	15	4	15
2	Kluczevia Stargard	5	3	2	0	15	10	11

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Środa vs Kluczevia Stargard?: The Footlab model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Kluczevia Stargard.
Where and when is Polonia Środa vs Kluczevia Stargard played?: Polonia Środa vs Kluczevia Stargard is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.