Bandeirante SP vs União São João: prediction and stats
Copa PaulistaRound of 16Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Pedro Marin Berbel, Birigui, São Paulo
The Footlab model makes Bandeirante SP the favourite at 34%, against 32% for a draw and 34% for União São João. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bandeirante SP vs União São João?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Bandeirante SP (1,581) and União São João (1,671).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bandeirante SP have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; União São João have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Linense(away) | 0-2 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Grêmio Prudente(home) | 1-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Marília(away) | 1-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Marília(home) | 3-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Grêmio Prudente(away) | 0-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | XV de Piracicaba(away) | 1-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Noroeste(home) | 1-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Comercial(home) | 1-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Comercial(away) | 1-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Noroeste(away) | 2-2 | Copa Paulista |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Bandeirante SP win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 União São João win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | União São João 3-1 Bandeirante SP | Paulista - A3 |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Bandeirante SP 0-1 União São João | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 17, 2024 | União São João 1-2 Bandeirante SP | Paulista - A3 |
Last archived meeting: União São João vs Bandeirante SP on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bandeirante SP score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; União São João score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bandeirante SP | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| União São João | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bandeirante SP vs União São João?
- The Footlab model makes Bandeirante SP the favourite at 34%, against 32% for a draw and 34% for União São João.
- Where and when is Bandeirante SP vs União São João played?
- Bandeirante SP vs União São João is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Pedro Marin Berbel, in the Copa Paulista.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.