Bandırmaspor vs Muğlaspor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Bandırma 17 Eylül Stadı, Bandırma
The Footlab model makes Bandırmaspor the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Muğlaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bandırmaspor vs Muğlaspor?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Bandırmaspor (1,873) and Muğlaspor (1,808).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bandırmaspor have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Muğlaspor have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 3-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Sivasspor(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bodrum FK(away) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(home) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sarıyer(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 10, 2026 | Elazığspor(home) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| May 4, 2026 | Şanlıurfaspor(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Bandırmaspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Muğlaspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Muğlaspor 0-0 Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Muğlaspor vs Bandırmaspor on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bandırmaspor score 1.1 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Muğlaspor score 0.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bandırmaspor | 1.1 | 0.3 | 11 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Muğlaspor | 0.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bandırmaspor sit 7th in 1. Lig (5 points from 3 matches) and Muğlaspor sit 18th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bandırmaspor | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| 18 | Muğlaspor | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bandırmaspor vs Muğlaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Bandırmaspor the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Muğlaspor.
- Where and when is Bandırmaspor vs Muğlaspor played?
- Bandırmaspor vs Muğlaspor is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Bandırma 17 Eylül Stadı, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.