Banfield vs River Plate: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 7Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Florencio Solá, Lomas de Zamora, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes River Plate the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Banfield. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Banfield vs River Plate?
River Plate starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,928 vs 1,802).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Banfield have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; River Plate have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Newells Old Boys(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Midland(home) | 2-2 | Copa Argentina |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Racing Club(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Belgrano Cordoba(home) | 0-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Santa Fe(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Argentinos JRS(home) | 2-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tigre(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rosario Central(home) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gimnasia L.P.(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Banfield win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 River Plate win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | River Plate 3-1 Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Nov 2, 2024 | River Plate 3-1 Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Feb 18, 2024 | River Plate 1-1 Banfield | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Sep 25, 2023 | Banfield 1-1 River Plate | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Jun 12, 2023 | Banfield 1-4 River Plate | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Feb 23, 2023 | Banfield 2-3 River Plate | Trofeo de Campeones de la Superliga |
Last archived meeting: River Plate vs Banfield on Feb 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Banfield score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; River Plate score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banfield | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| River Plate | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Banfield sit 12th in Liga Profesional Argentina (18 points from 16 matches) and River Plate sit 2nd (29 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 29 |
| 11 | Banfield | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 19 | 18 |
| 14 | River Plate | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Banfield vs River Plate?
- The Footlab model makes River Plate the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Banfield.
- Where and when is Banfield vs River Plate played?
- Banfield vs River Plate is played on August 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Florencio Solá, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Aug 29, 2026Boca JuniorsvsLanus
- Aug 29, 2026Deportivo RiestravsVelez Sarsfield
- Aug 29, 2026Rosario CentralvsGimnasia L.P.
- Aug 29, 2026HuracanvsEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto
- Aug 30, 2026Talleres CordobavsCentral Cordoba de Santiago
- Aug 30, 2026Atletico TucumanvsBelgrano Cordoba
- Aug 30, 2026Instituto CordobavsSan Lorenzo