Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 7Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Guillermo Laza, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Riestra the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Velez Sarsfield. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield?
Velez Sarsfield starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,949 vs 1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Riestra have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Velez Sarsfield have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Gimnasia L.P.(home) | 1-1 | Copa Argentina |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Newells Old Boys(away) | 0-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(home) | 2-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Barracas Central(home) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Defensa Y Justicia(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Defensa Y Justicia(home) | 1-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Boca Juniors(away) | 1-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Independiente(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Talleres Cordoba(away) | 3-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Instituto Cordoba(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Deportivo Riestra win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Velez Sarsfield win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | Velez Sarsfield 0-0 Deportivo Riestra | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 6, 2025 | Deportivo Riestra 2-2 Velez Sarsfield | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Deportivo Riestra | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Deportivo Riestra 1-1 Velez Sarsfield | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Feb 15, 2024 | Deportivo Riestra 1-2 Velez Sarsfield | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
Last archived meeting: Velez Sarsfield vs Deportivo Riestra on Feb 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Riestra score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Velez Sarsfield score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Riestra | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Velez Sarsfield | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Riestra sit 15th in Liga Profesional Argentina (11 points from 16 matches) and Velez Sarsfield sit 3rd (28 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 28 |
| 8 | Deportivo Riestra | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Riestra the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Velez Sarsfield.
- Where and when is Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield played?
- Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Guillermo Laza, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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