Banga vs Džiugas Telšiai: prediction and stats
A LygaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:15 AM (UTC)Gargždų miesto stadionas, Gargždai
The Footlab model makes Banga the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Džiugas Telšiai. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Banga vs Džiugas Telšiai?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Banga (1,718) and Džiugas Telšiai (1,655).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Banga have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Džiugas Telšiai have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen(away) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(away) | 3-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Suduva Marijampole(home) | 0-3 | A Lyga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Šiauliai(away) | 3-1 | A Lyga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai(away) | 0-1 | A Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(away) | 0-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Suduva Marijampole(home) | 0-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Šiauliai(away) | 4-3 | A Lyga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Panevėžys(away) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius(away) | 0-1 | A Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Banga win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Džiugas Telšiai win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai 1-0 Banga | A Lyga |
| May 20, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai 0-0 Banga | Cup |
| May 16, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai 0-1 Banga | A Lyga |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Banga 0-1 Džiugas Telšiai | A Lyga |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Banga 0-1 Džiugas Telšiai | A Lyga |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Džiugas Telšiai 0-0 Banga | A Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Džiugas Telšiai vs Banga on Jul 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Banga score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Džiugas Telšiai score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banga | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Džiugas Telšiai | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Banga sit 4th in A Lyga (37 points from 24 matches) and Džiugas Telšiai sit 5th (37 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Banga | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 22 | 37 |
| 5 | Džiugas Telšiai | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 31 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Banga vs Džiugas Telšiai?
- The Footlab model makes Banga the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Džiugas Telšiai.
- Where and when is Banga vs Džiugas Telšiai played?
- Banga vs Džiugas Telšiai is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:15 AM (UTC) at Gargždų miesto stadionas, in the A Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.