Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva Marijampole: prediction and stats
A LygaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 11:15 AM (UTC)LFF Kauno treniruočių centras, Kaunas
The Footlab model makes Suduva Marijampole the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Hegelmann Litauen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva Marijampole?
Suduva Marijampole starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,779 vs 1,637).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hegelmann Litauen have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Suduva Marijampole have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Banga(home) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(away) | 0-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius(home) | 1-2 | A Lyga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(home) | 2-3 | A Lyga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Šiauliai(away) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Panevėžys(home) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai(away) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Banga(away) | 3-0 | A Lyga |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen(home) | 5-1 | A Lyga |
| Jul 6, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius(home) | 0-0 | A Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hegelmann Litauen win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Suduva Marijampole win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2026 | Suduva Marijampole 5-1 Hegelmann Litauen | A Lyga |
| May 16, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen 2-2 Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Suduva Marijampole 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen | A Lyga |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Suduva Marijampole 2-1 Hegelmann Litauen | A Lyga |
| Jun 30, 2025 | Hegelmann Litauen 0-2 Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Suduva Marijampole vs Hegelmann Litauen on Jul 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hegelmann Litauen score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Suduva Marijampole score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hegelmann Litauen | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Suduva Marijampole | 1.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hegelmann Litauen sit 7th in A Lyga (23 points from 25 matches) and Suduva Marijampole sit 1st (42 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suduva Marijampole | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 33 | 17 | 42 |
| 7 | Hegelmann Litauen | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 27 | 42 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva Marijampole?
- The Footlab model makes Suduva Marijampole the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Hegelmann Litauen.
- Where and when is Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva Marijampole played?
- Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva Marijampole is played on September 20, 2026 at 11:15 AM (UTC) at LFF Kauno treniruočių centras, in the A Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.