Bangor vs Coleraine FC: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bangor Fuels Arena, Bangor
The Footlab model makes Coleraine FC the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Bangor. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bangor vs Coleraine FC?
Coleraine FC is a heavy favourite: 1,756 Elo points against 1,402, a 353-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bangor have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Coleraine FC have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(away) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(home) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dergview(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Newry City AFC(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Larne(home) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(away) | 3-1 | Premiership |
| Jul 30, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Bangor win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Coleraine FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Bangor 0-2 Coleraine FC | Premiership |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Coleraine FC 2-0 Bangor | Premiership |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Bangor 2-1 Coleraine FC | Premiership |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Coleraine FC 2-1 Bangor | League Cup |
| Sep 14, 2021 | Bangor 0-5 Coleraine FC | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Bangor vs Coleraine FC on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bangor score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Coleraine FC score 2.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Coleraine FC | 2.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bangor sit 12th in Premiership (0 points from 2 matches) and Coleraine FC sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 12 | Bangor | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bangor vs Coleraine FC?
- The Footlab model makes Coleraine FC the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Bangor.
- Where and when is Bangor vs Coleraine FC played?
- Bangor vs Coleraine FC is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bangor Fuels Arena, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.