Larne vs Linfield: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Inver Park, Larne
The Footlab AI model makes Larne the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Linfield. The most likely score is 1-1. If Larne wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Larne vs Linfield?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Larne (1,828) and Linfield (1,757).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Larne vs Linfield
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Larne
4-3-3- 9P. O'Neill
- 30M. Lusty
- 45M. Gibson
- 6C. Gallagher
- 26D. Bent
- 15R. Doherty
- 4A. Donnelly
- 23T. Cosgrove
- 3M. Ridley
- 11S. Graham
- 1R. Ferguson
Linfield
4-3-3- 8K. McClean
- 30Kobei Moore
- 16D. Wells
- 10A. Frizzell
- 26I. Baird
- 14K. Nelson
- 15B. Hall
- 27E. McGee
- 34Dane Neil McCullough
- 33D. Leahy
- 1C. Johns
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Larne have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Linfield have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(away) | 5-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Portadown(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bangor(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bangor(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Coleraine FC(away) | 3-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Crusaders FC(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Portadown(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Larne wins, 3 draws, 1 Linfield win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Linfield 0-2 Larne | Premiership |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Larne 1-1 Linfield | Premiership |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Linfield 0-0 Larne | Premiership |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Larne 0-0 Linfield | Premiership |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Larne 2-1 Linfield | Premiership |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Linfield 1-0 Larne | Premiership |
How many goals should we expect?
Larne score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Linfield score 1.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larne | 1.4 | 1.2 | 8 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Linfield | 1.6 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Larne sit 3rd in Premiership (19 points from 7 matches) and Linfield sit 2nd (25 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Linfield | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 25 |
| 3 | Larne | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 19 |
A question about Larne vs Linfield?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Larne vs Linfield?
- The Footlab AI model makes Larne the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Linfield.
- Where and when is Larne vs Linfield played?
- Larne vs Linfield is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Inver Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.