Cliftonville FC vs Ballymena United: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Solitude, Belfast
The Footlab model makes Cliftonville FC the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Ballymena United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cliftonville FC vs Ballymena United?
Cliftonville FC starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,588 vs 1,482).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cliftonville FC have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Ballymena United have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Linfield(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bangor(away) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Crusaders FC(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Alvechurch(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Glentoran(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Linfield(away) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Glenavon FC(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Annagh United(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cliftonville FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Ballymena United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Cliftonville FC 2-2 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Ballymena United 2-2 Cliftonville FC | Premiership |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Cliftonville FC 3-2 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Cliftonville FC 5-0 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Ballymena United 1-0 Cliftonville FC | Premiership |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Cliftonville FC 0-1 Ballymena United | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Cliftonville FC vs Ballymena United on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cliftonville FC score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ballymena United score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cliftonville FC | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Ballymena United | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cliftonville FC sit 3rd in Premiership (6 points from 3 matches) and Ballymena United sit 8th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cliftonville FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Ballymena United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cliftonville FC vs Ballymena United?
- The Footlab model makes Cliftonville FC the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Ballymena United.
- Where and when is Cliftonville FC vs Ballymena United played?
- Cliftonville FC vs Ballymena United is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Solitude, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.