Portadown vs Limavady United: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Shamrock Park, Portadown
The Footlab model makes Limavady United the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Portadown. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Portadown vs Limavady United?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Portadown (1,450) and Limavady United (1,486).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portadown have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Limavady United have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 2-3 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(home) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kilbarrack United(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Glentoran(away) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Linfield(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Institute(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Portadown win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Limavady United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | Portadown 2-0 Limavady United | Irish Cup |
| Nov 24, 2018 | Limavady United 2-2 Portadown | Championship |
| Sep 7, 2018 | Portadown 2-2 Limavady United | Championship |
| Jan 13, 2018 | Limavady United 1-1 Portadown | Championship |
| Aug 19, 2017 | Portadown 2-1 Limavady United | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Portadown vs Limavady United on Jan 8, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Portadown score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Limavady United score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portadown | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Limavady United | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portadown sit 10th in Premiership (0 points from 3 matches) and Limavady United sit 11th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Portadown | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 | Limavady United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Portadown vs Limavady United?
- The Footlab model makes Limavady United the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Portadown.
- Where and when is Portadown vs Limavady United played?
- Portadown vs Limavady United is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Shamrock Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.