Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)BetMcLean Oval, Belfast
The Footlab model makes Glentoran the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Dungannon Swifts. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts?
Glentoran starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,687 vs 1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Glentoran have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Dungannon Swifts have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ballymena United(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Linfield(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Limavady United(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bangor(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Portadown(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Coleraine FC(home) | 1-3 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Glentoran win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Dungannon Swifts win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Glentoran 5-0 Dungannon Swifts | Premiership |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts 0-2 Glentoran | Premiership |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Glentoran 0-1 Dungannon Swifts | Premiership |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Dungannon Swifts 3-1 Glentoran | Premiership |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Dungannon Swifts 3-2 Glentoran | Premiership |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Glentoran 1-0 Dungannon Swifts | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Glentoran score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dungannon Swifts score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glentoran | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Dungannon Swifts | 2.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Glentoran sit 2nd in Premiership (6 points from 3 matches) and Dungannon Swifts sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Glentoran | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Dungannon Swifts | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts?
- The Footlab model makes Glentoran the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Dungannon Swifts.
- Where and when is Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts played?
- Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at BetMcLean Oval, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.