ML Vitebsk vs Slavia Mozyr: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen DYuSSh-1, Rohachev
The Footlab model makes ML Vitebsk the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Slavia Mozyr. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ML Vitebsk vs Slavia Mozyr?
ML Vitebsk starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,840 vs 1,691).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ML Vitebsk have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Slavia Mozyr have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bate Borisov(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Baranovichi(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Borac Banja Luka(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Borac Banja Luka(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Sutjeska(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gomel(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC Dnepr Mogilev(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Dinamo Brest(home) | 2-1 | Coppa |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Volna(away) | 5-0 | Coppa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 ML Vitebsk win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Slavia Mozyr win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2026 | Slavia Mozyr 2-4 ML Vitebsk | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2025 | ML Vitebsk 2-3 Slavia Mozyr | Premier League |
| May 12, 2025 | Slavia Mozyr 0-2 ML Vitebsk | Premier League |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Slavia Mozyr 0-2 ML Vitebsk | Coppa |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Slavia Mozyr 1-1 ML Vitebsk | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Slavia Mozyr vs ML Vitebsk on Jul 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ML Vitebsk score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Slavia Mozyr score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ML Vitebsk | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Slavia Mozyr | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ML Vitebsk sit 3rd in Premier League (35 points from 16 matches) and Slavia Mozyr sit 10th (22 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | ML Vitebsk | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 13 | 35 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ML Vitebsk vs Slavia Mozyr?
- The Footlab model makes ML Vitebsk the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Slavia Mozyr.
- Where and when is ML Vitebsk vs Slavia Mozyr played?
- ML Vitebsk vs Slavia Mozyr is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen DYuSSh-1, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.