FC Gomel vs Bate Borisov: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Central'ny, Gomel
The Footlab model makes FC Gomel the favourite at 59%, against 26% for a draw and 14% for Bate Borisov. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Gomel vs Bate Borisov?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate FC Gomel (1,703) and Bate Borisov (1,653).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Gomel have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Bate Borisov have 2, 9 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slavia Mozyr(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Naftan(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Minsk(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(home) | 1-2 | Coppa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ML Vitebsk(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Baranovichi(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FC Sion(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Sion(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC Gomel win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Bate Borisov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2026 | Bate Borisov 0-1 FC Gomel | Premier League |
| Aug 22, 2025 | FC Gomel 2-3 Bate Borisov | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Bate Borisov 0-0 FC Gomel | Premier League |
| Aug 18, 2024 | FC Gomel 2-0 Bate Borisov | Premier League |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Bate Borisov 1-3 FC Gomel | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Bate Borisov 1-2 FC Gomel | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Bate Borisov vs FC Gomel on Jul 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Gomel score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bate Borisov score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Gomel | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Bate Borisov | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Gomel sit 5th in Premier League (30 points from 19 matches) and Bate Borisov sit 14th (14 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FC Gomel | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 15 | 30 |
| 14 | Bate Borisov | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Gomel vs Bate Borisov?
- The Footlab model makes FC Gomel the favourite at 59%, against 26% for a draw and 14% for Bate Borisov.
- Where and when is FC Gomel vs Bate Borisov played?
- FC Gomel vs Bate Borisov is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Central'ny, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.