Barendrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam II: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Bongerd, Barendrecht
The Footlab model makes Sparta Rotterdam II the favourite at 44%, against 19% for a draw and 36% for Barendrecht. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barendrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam II?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Barendrecht (1,828) and Sparta Rotterdam II (1,874).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barendrecht have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Sparta Rotterdam II have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(away) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | HHC(home) | 1-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | RKAV Volendam(away) | 2-5 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Hoek(home) | 4-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rijnsburgse Boys(away) | 6-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ROHDA Raalte(home) | 6-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Groningen U21(home) | 3-2 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Barendrecht win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Sparta Rotterdam II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam II 4-1 Barendrecht | Tweede Divisie |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Barendrecht 3-2 Sparta Rotterdam II | Tweede Divisie |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam II 2-0 Barendrecht | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Barendrecht 5-3 Sparta Rotterdam II | Tweede Divisie |
| Jul 23, 2024 | Barendrecht 3-3 Sparta Rotterdam II | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 8, 2024 | Barendrecht 1-4 Sparta Rotterdam II | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Rotterdam II vs Barendrecht on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barendrecht score 1.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Rotterdam II score 2.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 85% probability of over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barendrecht | 1.9 | 2.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Sparta Rotterdam II | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barendrecht sit 11th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Sparta Rotterdam II sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Rotterdam II | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 | Barendrecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barendrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam II?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Rotterdam II the favourite at 44%, against 19% for a draw and 36% for Barendrecht.
- Where and when is Barendrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam II played?
- Barendrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam II is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Bongerd, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 85% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.