Katwijk vs Kozakken Boys: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark de Krom, Katwijk
The Footlab model makes Katwijk the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Kozakken Boys. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Katwijk vs Kozakken Boys?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Katwijk (1,890) and Kozakken Boys (1,816).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Katwijk have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Kozakken Boys have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hoek(home) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spakenburg(away) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam II(home) | 4-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Spakenburg(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(home) | 4-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kloetinge(away) | 3-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(home) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Quick Boys(home) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | HHC(away) | 3-3 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Katwijk win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kozakken Boys win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Katwijk 2-1 Kozakken Boys | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Kozakken Boys 0-0 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Katwijk 3-2 Kozakken Boys | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Kozakken Boys 1-2 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| May 13, 2023 | Katwijk 1-0 Kozakken Boys | Tweede Divisie |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Kozakken Boys 3-1 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Katwijk vs Kozakken Boys on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Katwijk score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Kozakken Boys score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katwijk | 2.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Kozakken Boys | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Katwijk sit 14th in Tweede Divisie (1 points from 2 matches) and Kozakken Boys sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kozakken Boys | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| 14 | Katwijk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Katwijk vs Kozakken Boys?
- The Footlab model makes Katwijk the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Kozakken Boys.
- Where and when is Katwijk vs Kozakken Boys played?
- Katwijk vs Kozakken Boys is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark de Krom, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.