RKAV Volendam vs Almere City II: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Hein Koning Voetbalstadion, Volendam
The Footlab model makes Almere City II the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for RKAV Volendam. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win RKAV Volendam vs Almere City II?
Almere City II starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,888 vs 1,784).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RKAV Volendam have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Almere City II have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spakenburg(home) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Quick Boys(away) | 0-5 | Tweede Divisie |
| Jul 5, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Rijnsburgse Boys(away) | 0-7 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Barendrecht(home) | 5-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | HHC(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rijnsburgse Boys(home) | 4-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(home) | 5-4 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 1-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | RKAV Volendam(home) | 3-2 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 RKAV Volendam win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Almere City II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Almere City II 3-2 RKAV Volendam | Tweede Divisie |
| Nov 29, 2025 | RKAV Volendam 1-4 Almere City II | Tweede Divisie |
| Feb 22, 2025 | RKAV Volendam 3-4 Almere City II | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Almere City II 3-1 RKAV Volendam | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Almere City II vs RKAV Volendam on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
RKAV Volendam score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Almere City II score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RKAV Volendam | 1.4 | 2.0 | 3 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Almere City II | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
RKAV Volendam sit 12th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Almere City II sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Almere City II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | RKAV Volendam | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for RKAV Volendam vs Almere City II?
- The Footlab model makes Almere City II the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for RKAV Volendam.
- Where and when is RKAV Volendam vs Almere City II played?
- RKAV Volendam vs Almere City II is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Hein Koning Voetbalstadion, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.