Spakenburg vs AFC Amsterdam: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Westmaat (Spakenburg), Bunschoten
The Footlab model makes Spakenburg the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for AFC Amsterdam. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spakenburg vs AFC Amsterdam?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Spakenburg (1,923) and AFC Amsterdam (1,862).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spakenburg have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; AFC Amsterdam have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | RKAV Volendam(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Katwijk(home) | 1-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(away) | 2-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Katwijk(home) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | De Treffers(away) | 0-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(away) | 3-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kloetinge(home) | 1-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | HHC(home) | 2-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(away) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 3-2 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Spakenburg win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 AFC Amsterdam win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | AFC Amsterdam 2-0 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Spakenburg 2-1 AFC Amsterdam | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Spakenburg 3-2 AFC Amsterdam | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 22, 2025 | AFC Amsterdam 1-0 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Spakenburg 1-2 AFC Amsterdam | Tweede Divisie |
| Feb 3, 2024 | AFC Amsterdam 1-3 Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: AFC Amsterdam vs Spakenburg on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spakenburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Amsterdam score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spakenburg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| AFC Amsterdam | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spakenburg sit 9th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and AFC Amsterdam sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spakenburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | AFC Amsterdam | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spakenburg vs AFC Amsterdam?
- The Footlab model makes Spakenburg the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for AFC Amsterdam.
- Where and when is Spakenburg vs AFC Amsterdam played?
- Spakenburg vs AFC Amsterdam is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Westmaat (Spakenburg), in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.