Barki Tajik vs CSKA Pomir: prediction and stats
Vysshaya LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Republican Central Stadium, Dushanbe
The Footlab model makes CSKA Pomir the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Barki Tajik. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barki Tajik vs CSKA Pomir?
CSKA Pomir starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,466 vs 1,348).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barki Tajik have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; CSKA Pomir have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eskhata(away) | 2-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ravshan(home) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Khatlon(home) | 2-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Parvoz(home) | 2-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Khujand(home) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Khatlon(home) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Khujand(away) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Khosilot Farkhor(home) | 2-3 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Parvoz(home) | 1-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 16, 2026 | Regar-TadAZ(home) | 1-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Barki Tajik win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 CSKA Pomir win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | CSKA Pomir 2-1 Barki Tajik | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Barki Tajik 0-0 CSKA Pomir | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 4, 2025 | CSKA Pomir 3-3 Barki Tajik | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Barki Tajik 0-2 CSKA Pomir | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 22, 2024 | CSKA Pomir 3-2 Barki Tajik | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 20, 2018 | Barki Tajik 2-1 CSKA Pomir | Vysshaya Liga |
Last archived meeting: CSKA Pomir vs Barki Tajik on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barki Tajik score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Pomir score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barki Tajik | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| CSKA Pomir | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barki Tajik sit 6th in Vysshaya Liga (18 points from 14 matches) and CSKA Pomir sit 4th (21 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CSKA Pomir | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 21 |
| 6 | Barki Tajik | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 22 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barki Tajik vs CSKA Pomir?
- The Footlab model makes CSKA Pomir the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Barki Tajik.
- Where and when is Barki Tajik vs CSKA Pomir played?
- Barki Tajik vs CSKA Pomir is played on August 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Republican Central Stadium, in the Vysshaya Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.