Khosilot Farkhor vs Regar-TadAZ: prediction and stats
Vysshaya LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Farkhar, Parkhar
The Footlab model makes Regar-TadAZ the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Khosilot Farkhor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Khosilot Farkhor vs Regar-TadAZ?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Khosilot Farkhor (1,434) and Regar-TadAZ (1,491).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Khosilot Farkhor have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Regar-TadAZ have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sardor Tursunzoda(away) | 3-3 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Istaravshan(home) | 5-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 26, 2026 | CSKA Pomir(away) | 3-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Eskhata(away) | 6-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 24, 2026 | Barki Tajik(home) | 2-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Parvoz(home) | 3-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Maziya(away) | 3-0 | AFC Challenge League |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Ravshan(away) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Sardor Tursunzoda(away) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 16, 2026 | CSKA Pomir(away) | 2-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Khosilot Farkhor win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Regar-TadAZ win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Regar-TadAZ 1-0 Khosilot Farkhor | Vysshaya Liga |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Khosilot Farkhor 2-3 Regar-TadAZ | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 18, 2025 | Regar-TadAZ 1-0 Khosilot Farkhor | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Regar-TadAZ 0-0 Khosilot Farkhor | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Khosilot Farkhor 0-1 Regar-TadAZ | Vysshaya Liga |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Khosilot Farkhor 0-1 Regar-TadAZ | Vysshaya Liga |
Last archived meeting: Regar-TadAZ vs Khosilot Farkhor on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Khosilot Farkhor score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Regar-TadAZ score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khosilot Farkhor | 2.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Regar-TadAZ | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Khosilot Farkhor sit 2nd in Vysshaya Liga (28 points from 14 matches) and Regar-TadAZ sit 1st (30 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Regar-TadAZ | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 30 |
| 2 | Khosilot Farkhor | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Khosilot Farkhor vs Regar-TadAZ?
- The Footlab model makes Regar-TadAZ the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Khosilot Farkhor.
- Where and when is Khosilot Farkhor vs Regar-TadAZ played?
- Khosilot Farkhor vs Regar-TadAZ is played on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Farkhar, in the Vysshaya Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.