Match

Oldham vs Exeter City: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boundary Park, Oldham, Greater Manchester

OldhamExeter City

The Footlab AI model makes Oldham the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Exeter City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oldham wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Oldham vs Exeter City?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Oldham (1,817) and Exeter City (1,846).

45%28%27%
Oldham winDrawExeter City win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Oldham vs Exeter City

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Oldham

4-2-3-1
  1. 9M. Fondop-Talum
  1. 8O. Norburn
  2. 7K. Appiah-Forson
  3. 10C. Kavanagh
  4. 14N. Chilvers
  5. 17F. Fawunmi
  1. 24L. Temple
  2. 3J. Robson
  3. 2G. Scott-Morriss
  4. 6E. Monthe
  1. 1M. Hudson

Exeter City

4-2-3-1
  1. 10J. Gordon
  1. 16C. Cummins
  2. 31J. Doyle-Hayes
  3. 8T. Perry
  4. 20George Birch
  5. 25A. Scully
  1. 5J. Fitzwater
  2. 3L. Woodhouse
  3. 2L. Samuel
  4. 6J. Taylor
  1. 1J. Bycroft

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:26 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oldham have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Exeter City have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Oldham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Leeds United U21(home)4-2EFL Trophy
Oct 10, 2026Accrington ST(home)0-0League Two
Sep 26, 2026Salford City(home)1-4League Two
Sep 22, 2026Fleetwood Town(home)1-0EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2026Rochdale(away)0-2League Two
Exeter City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Shrewsbury(away)1-0League Two
Oct 6, 2026Oxford United(home)2-2EFL Trophy
Oct 3, 2026Rotherham(home)1-0League Two
Sep 26, 2026Bristol Rovers(away)0-1League Two
Sep 22, 2026Cheltenham(away)2-2EFL Trophy

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Oldham wins, 1 draw, 3 Exeter City wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 19, 2022Oldham 0-2 Exeter CityLeague Two
Nov 13, 2021Exeter City 2-1 OldhamLeague Two
Mar 23, 2021Oldham 2-1 Exeter CityLeague Two
Nov 21, 2020Exeter City 1-2 OldhamLeague Two
Feb 11, 2020Exeter City 5-1 OldhamLeague Two
Aug 20, 2019Oldham 0-0 Exeter CityLeague Two

Last archived meeting: Oldham vs Exeter City on Mar 19, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Oldham score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Exeter City score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Oldham1.31.456/157/15
Exeter City0.90.965/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Oldham sit 21st in League Two (8 points from 9 matches) and Exeter City sit 14th (12 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Exeter City103346612
21Oldham92259138

A question about Oldham vs Exeter City?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Oldham vs Exeter City?
The Footlab AI model makes Oldham the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Exeter City.
Where and when is Oldham vs Exeter City played?
Oldham vs Exeter City is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boundary Park, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Oldham and Exeter City

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