Match

Cheltenham vs Bristol Rovers: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Completely-Suzuki Stadium, Cheltenham, Gloucestershire

CheltenhamBristol Rovers

The Footlab AI model makes Bristol Rovers the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Cheltenham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bristol Rovers wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,473 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cheltenham vs Bristol Rovers?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Cheltenham (1,837) and Bristol Rovers (1,842).

35%27%38%
Cheltenham winDrawBristol Rovers win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cheltenham vs Bristol Rovers

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cheltenham

4-2-3-1
  1. 18A. Weimann
  1. 26J. Shipley
  2. 19J. Evans
  3. 8C. McCann
  4. 33F. Willcox
  5. 7B. Stevenson
  1. 25P. Sweeney
  2. 6J. Wilson
  3. 3J. Tomkinson
  4. 17S. McWilliams
  1. 23W. Stanway

Bristol Rovers

3-4-1-2
  1. 29F. Cavegn
  2. 19E. Harrison
  1. 2T. James
  2. 6C. Mola
  3. 7S. Forde
  4. 3J. Sparkes
  5. 21R. Smallwood
  1. 4K. Balmer
  2. 17C. Kelly
  3. 5A. Kilgour
  1. 1Brad Young

Computed on October 25, 2026 at 06:37 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cheltenham have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Bristol Rovers have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cheltenham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Newport County(home)1-0League Two
Oct 20, 2026Fleetwood Town(home)4-2League Two
Oct 17, 2026Oldham(away)1-4League Two
Oct 13, 2026Tottenham Hotspur U21(home)2-2EFL Trophy
Oct 10, 2026Salford City(home)0-2League Two
Bristol Rovers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Swindon Town(home)0-0League Two
Oct 20, 2026Salford City(home)1-2League Two
Oct 17, 2026Shrewsbury(away)0-1League Two
Oct 10, 2026Barnet(home)1-3League Two
Oct 6, 2026Wycombe(away)1-4EFL Trophy

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cheltenham win, 1 draw, 4 Bristol Rovers wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Bristol Rovers 4-0 CheltenhamLeague Two
Nov 22, 2025Cheltenham 1-0 Bristol RoversLeague Two
Oct 7, 2025Cheltenham 0-1 Bristol RoversEFL Trophy
Apr 13, 2024Cheltenham 1-3 Bristol RoversLeague One
Dec 9, 2023Bristol Rovers 1-1 CheltenhamLeague One
Sep 5, 2023Bristol Rovers 4-1 CheltenhamEFL Trophy

Last archived meeting: Bristol Rovers vs Cheltenham on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cheltenham score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bristol Rovers score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cheltenham1.71.7112/1511/15
Bristol Rovers1.31.757/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cheltenham sit 3rd in League Two (21 points from 13 matches) and Bristol Rovers sit 15th (16 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Cheltenham13634222221
15Bristol Rovers13517162016

A question about Cheltenham vs Bristol Rovers?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cheltenham vs Bristol Rovers?
The Footlab AI model makes Bristol Rovers the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Cheltenham.
Where and when is Cheltenham vs Bristol Rovers played?
Cheltenham vs Bristol Rovers is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Completely-Suzuki Stadium, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cheltenham and Bristol Rovers

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