Barquereño vs Sámano: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Castañar, San Vicente de la Barquera
The Footlab AI model makes Barquereño the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Sámano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barquereño wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barquereño vs Sámano?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Barquereño (1,618) and Sámano (1,707).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barquereño vs Sámano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barquereño
Not enough data to predict the Barquereño lineup.
Sámano
4-3-3- 9A. Castillo Marcilla
- 11A. Berzosa
- 23J. Ibanez
- 6D. Aguirre
- 10A. Lambea
- 14M. Gilete
- 2A. Abad
- 22L. Gomez
- 4J. Lopez
- LLuis Gómez
- 1G. Masach
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barquereño have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Sámano have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Selaya(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bezana(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Torina(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Velarde(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Velarde(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Atlético Mineros(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cayón(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guarnizo(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Vimenor(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Barquereño wins, 1 draw, 3 Sámano wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sámano 2-2 Barquereño | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Sámano 4-1 Barquereño | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Barquereño 3-2 Sámano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jan 24, 2021 | Barquereño 0-3 Sámano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 24, 2020 | Sámano 1-0 Barquereño | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Dec 15, 2019 | Barquereño 2-0 Sámano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Barquereño score 0.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sámano score 1.3 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barquereño | 0.7 | 2.3 | 1 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Sámano | 1.3 | 2.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barquereño sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (4 points from 6 matches) and Sámano sit 4th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sámano | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 11 |
| 17 | Barquereño | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 4 |
A question about Barquereño vs Sámano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barquereño vs Sámano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barquereño the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Sámano.
- Where and when is Barquereño vs Sámano played?
- Barquereño vs Sámano is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Castañar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.