Naval Reinosa vs Velarde: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Naval Reinosa the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Velarde. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naval Reinosa vs Velarde?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Naval Reinosa have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Velarde have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2024 | Vimenor(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| May 5, 2024 | Torina(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| May 1, 2024 | Siete Villas(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Atlético Mineros(away) | 3-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Colindres(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naval Reinosa vs Velarde?
- The Footlab model makes Naval Reinosa the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Velarde.
- Where and when is Naval Reinosa vs Velarde played?
- Naval Reinosa vs Velarde is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.