Guarnizo vs Atlético Mineros: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Pilar, Guarnizo
The Footlab AI model makes Guarnizo the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Atlético Mineros. The most likely score is 1-1. If Guarnizo wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,204 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guarnizo vs Atlético Mineros?
Guarnizo starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,735 vs 1,615).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Guarnizo vs Atlético Mineros
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Guarnizo
Not enough data to predict the Guarnizo lineup.
Atlético Mineros
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Mineros lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 05:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guarnizo have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Atlético Mineros have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Revilla(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Solares(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Selaya(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bezana(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Escobedo(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Torina(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético Albericia(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Velarde(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tropezón(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Guarnizo win, 2 draws, 2 Atlético Mineros wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Atlético Mineros 2-1 Guarnizo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Guarnizo 0-0 Atlético Mineros | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Atlético Mineros 0-0 Guarnizo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Atlético Mineros 0-3 Guarnizo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Guarnizo 0-1 Atlético Mineros | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Mineros vs Guarnizo on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guarnizo score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Mineros score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarnizo | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Atlético Mineros | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guarnizo sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (8 points from 10 matches) and Atlético Mineros sit 9th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Atlético Mineros | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 13 |
| 12 | Guarnizo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 8 |
A question about Guarnizo vs Atlético Mineros?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guarnizo vs Atlético Mineros?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guarnizo the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Atlético Mineros.
- Where and when is Guarnizo vs Atlético Mineros played?
- Guarnizo vs Atlético Mineros is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Pilar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.