Barra Mansa vs Serra Macaense: result 1-1 and analysis
Carioca B2Group Stage - 3Kick-off on October 5, 2025 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Leão do Sul, Barra Mansa, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Barra Mansa vs Serra Macaense?
Barra Mansa and Serra Macaense drew 1-1 on October 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 4′607269Barra Mansa
- 27′607270Serra Macaense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Barra Mansa have 3 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Serra Macaense have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | SE Belford Roxo(away) | 1-4 | Carioca B2 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Macaé(home) | 0-0 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 7 de Abril(away) | 0-2 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Rio de Janeiro(home) | 4-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Carapebus(away) | 1-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | 7 de Abril(home) | 1-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Uni Souza(away) | 1-0 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Mageense(away) | 1-0 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Niteroiense(home) | 1-3 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Zinza(away) | 0-0 | Carioca B2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Barra Mansa win, 0 draws, 0 Serra Macaense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2024 | Serra Macaense 0-1 Barra Mansa | Carioca B2 |
Last archived meeting: Serra Macaense vs Barra Mansa on Oct 14, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Barra Mansa score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 13; Serra Macaense score 0.8 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barra Mansa | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/13 | 3/13 |
| Serra Macaense | 0.8 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barra Mansa sit 10th in Carioca B2 (7 points from 7 matches) and Serra Macaense sit 4th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Serra Macaense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 14 |
| 10 | Barra Mansa | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 7 |
A question about Barra Mansa vs Serra Macaense?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy