Harrogate Town vs Aldershot Town: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)EnviroVent Stadium, Harrogate, North Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Harrogate Town the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Aldershot Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Harrogate Town vs Aldershot Town?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Harrogate Town (1,706) and Aldershot Town (1,744).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Harrogate Town have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Aldershot Town have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 2-2 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wealdstone(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Solihull Moors(home) | 5-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Fulham U21(home) | 2-2 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hartlepool(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Harrogate Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Aldershot Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2020 | Aldershot Town 1-1 Harrogate Town | National League |
| Oct 26, 2019 | Harrogate Town 1-0 Aldershot Town | National League |
| Dec 8, 2018 | Harrogate Town 4-1 Aldershot Town | National League |
| Aug 18, 2018 | Aldershot Town 0-2 Harrogate Town | National League |
Last archived meeting: Aldershot Town vs Harrogate Town on Feb 1, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Harrogate Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aldershot Town score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrogate Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Aldershot Town | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Harrogate Town sit 3rd in National League (7 points from 3 matches) and Aldershot Town sit 14th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Harrogate Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 7 |
| 14 | Aldershot Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Harrogate Town vs Aldershot Town?
- The Footlab model makes Harrogate Town the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Aldershot Town.
- Where and when is Harrogate Town vs Aldershot Town played?
- Harrogate Town vs Aldershot Town is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at EnviroVent Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.