Barry Town vs Ammanford AFC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Jenner Park, Barry / Y Barri, Vale of Glamorgan
The Footlab model makes Barry Town the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Ammanford AFC. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barry Town vs Ammanford AFC?
Barry Town is a heavy favourite: 1,974 Elo points against 1,665 — a 309-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barry Town have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Ammanford AFC have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Holywell(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cardiff MET(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Briton Ferry(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cwmbran Celtic(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Barry Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ammanford AFC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | Barry Town 1-1 Ammanford AFC | FAW Championship |
| Jul 29, 2022 | Ammanford AFC 3-2 Barry Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Barry Town vs Ammanford AFC on Mar 4, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Barry Town score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ammanford AFC score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Town | 1.9 | 0.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Ammanford AFC | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barry Town sit 1st in Premier League (12 points from 4 matches) and Ammanford AFC sit 12th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barry Town | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 12 | Ammanford AFC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barry Town vs Ammanford AFC?
- The Footlab model makes Barry Town the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Ammanford AFC.
- Where and when is Barry Town vs Ammanford AFC played?
- Barry Town vs Ammanford AFC is played on September 15, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Jenner Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.