Cardiff MET vs Haverfordwest County AFC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch, Caerdydd
The Footlab model makes Cardiff MET the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Haverfordwest County AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cardiff MET vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Cardiff MET (1,807) and Haverfordwest County AFC (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardiff MET have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Haverfordwest County AFC have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | The New Saints(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barry Town(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Holywell(home) | 6-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Flint Town United(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Penybont(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | The New Saints(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Airbus UK(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Cardiff MET win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Haverfordwest County AFC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC 1-0 Cardiff MET | Premier League |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Cardiff MET 0-2 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Cardiff MET 0-0 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Haverfordwest County AFC 2-2 Cardiff MET | Premier League |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Cardiff MET 1-1 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Haverfordwest County AFC 1-0 Cardiff MET | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Haverfordwest County AFC vs Cardiff MET on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cardiff MET score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Haverfordwest County AFC score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff MET | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Haverfordwest County AFC | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cardiff MET sit 10th in Premier League (6 points from 4 matches) and Haverfordwest County AFC sit 14th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cardiff MET | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 14 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cardiff MET vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
- The Footlab model makes Cardiff MET the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Haverfordwest County AFC.
- Where and when is Cardiff MET vs Haverfordwest County AFC played?
- Cardiff MET vs Haverfordwest County AFC is played on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.