Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Go Goodwins Stadium, Llandudno, Conwy County Borough
The Footlab model makes Llandudno the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Caernarfon Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Llandudno (1,891) and Caernarfon Town (1,910).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llandudno have 13 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Caernarfon Town have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Penybont(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Holywell(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Trefelin(away) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Flint Town United(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kidsgrove Athletic(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Trefelin(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Penybont(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Llandudno win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Caernarfon Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2022 | Llandudno 0-1 Caernarfon Town | League Cup |
| Jan 1, 2019 | Llandudno 1-1 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Dec 29, 2018 | Caernarfon Town 3-3 Llandudno | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town on Aug 5, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Llandudno score 2.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Caernarfon Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llandudno | 2.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Caernarfon Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Llandudno sit 5th in Premier League (9 points from 4 matches) and Caernarfon Town sit 6th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Llandudno | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town?
- The Footlab model makes Llandudno the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Caernarfon Town.
- Where and when is Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town played?
- Llandudno vs Caernarfon Town is played on September 15, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Go Goodwins Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.